Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.992709 1.119871 1.258742 1.421921 1.608751 1.816362 2.065082
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.775777 0.942286 1.139481 1.391336 1.706007 2.088197 2.590602
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.683744 0.872003 1.107287 1.425132 1.846628 2.391017 3.154844
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.598532 0.793538 1.047973 1.407625 1.908298 2.588533 3.596238
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.543850 0.745678 1.019056 1.421140 2.005430 2.835908 4.127832
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.489762 0.691265 0.973188 1.402454 2.050204 3.008379 4.565461
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.447632 0.648602 0.938173 1.393270 2.104229 3.195529 5.042734
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.398541 0.590658 0.874591 1.333258 2.071816 3.242901 5.297956
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.376505 0.570942 0.865830 1.355783 2.169685 3.504369 5.936273
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.357839 0.554464 0.860027 1.381436 2.273691 3.784788 6.639917
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.337899 0.534068 0.845860 1.391227 2.350677 4.025432 7.300107
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.319363 0.514280 0.830721 1.397334 2.420756 4.259544 7.975485
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.303765 0.498520 0.821597 1.414111 2.513659 4.549047 8.805689
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.281616 0.470019 0.788618 1.385569 2.520591 4.679000 9.335635
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.271779 0.461839 0.789928 1.418989 2.646894 5.051259 10.418063
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.254972 0.440067 0.765331 1.401590 2.672342 5.225281 11.097398
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.244167 0.428170 0.757473 1.415038 2.759802 5.534313 12.119175
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.229845 0.408799 0.734323 1.396441 2.779638 5.702862 12.840859
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.217945 0.393066 0.716770 1.387300 2.817962 5.914787 13.695308
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.200712 0.366144 0.676000 1.327572 2.742293 5.866162 13.903641
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.194609 0.360065 0.675075 1.349991 2.847706 6.238316 15.227454
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.189220 0.354976 0.675665 1.375523 2.962441 6.645045 16.704898
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.182441 0.346681 0.669208 1.385267 3.041997 6.977045 18.034609